Andre's Blog

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The Basics on Black Mold

Mold spores are everywhere and cannot be avoided. They float in through your open windows and doors, or come inside by riding on your clothing or your pets.

Real problems in homes and buildings rarely occur unless there has been intense flooding, usually in basements, sometimes from leaky roofs, or where there has been an extensive plumbing problem.

If spores land on a moist or damp surface, usually in a poorly lit area -- they can grow.

So the key to mold control is moisture control. Water-damaged areas must be dried within twenty-four to forty-eight hours to prevent mold and mildew growth.

Most people have a natural immunity to antigens present in mold, but some are more sensitive than others - and a moldy home is not a healthy home. At-risk individuals are mostly infants, the aged and asthmatics being treated with steroids. The highest level of danger is for those with pre-existing respiratory diseases such as tuberculosis or cystic fibrosis and those undergoing chemotherapy or other treatments that adversely affect the immune system.

The most common health concerns include symptoms similar to hay fever.

Others may experience respiratory difficulties or skin and eye irritations. There are some reported extreme reactions, too, but those are rare and have yet to be attributed directly to mold - though an attorney may counsel differently.

As one lawyer states in a recent Time magazine article, "For science to prove something, it has to be 100% certain. In a civil lawsuit, it only has to be proved 51%."

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, determining the level of health risk is mostly a factor of looking at the individual and assessing whether they fall into one of the risk groups. However, exposure to mold is not a desirable living condition and it should be removed, just like you would also throw away moldy bread without eating it.

0 commentsAndre Shambley • November 04 2008 07:06AM

JPMorgan will modify mortgages

JPMorgan Chase & Co. said Friday it is expanding its program to modify mortgages in an effort to avoid foreclosures on up to $70 billion in loans.

The enhanced program will include the opening of 24 regional counseling centers, the hiring of 300 additional loan counselors, new financing alternatives, reaching out to borrowers with pre-qualified modification terms and a new process to independently review each loan before it is moved into foreclosure.

Chase said the changes are expected to be implemented in the next 90 days, and until those changes can be made, it will not put any loans into foreclosure.

The loan-modification program will also be offered to customers with loans held by Washington Mutual Inc. and EMC. JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) acquired Washington Mutual last month after the bank became the largest in the nation's history to fail. EMC was a mortgage unit of Bear Stearns Cos., which JPMorgan acquired in February.

When JPMorgan acquired Washington Mutual and EMC, it also acquired portfolios of mortgages that included option adjustable-rate mortgages. Option ARMs allow customers to choose from multiple payment options each month, including paying less than the interest owed on the loan, thereby increasing the balance on the loan. JPMorgan said modifications for those loans would eliminate the monthly options and not allow for the minimum payments.

Option ARMs have been among the worst performing loans since the middle of 2007 as mortgage defaults have skyrocketed and the housing market has deteriorated rapidly.

The modification program applies only to owner-occupied properties with mortgages owned by JPMorgan, Washington Mutual or EMC, with investor approval.

0 commentsAndre Shambley • November 03 2008 02:10PM

Humpty Dumpty Sat on a Wall…

 

As the elections come to a close, we will find out soon enough who are next president is and the make up of both the House and Senate. Expectations are that Congress will become even more Democratic but the economic recovery will be well under way by the time the new guys, or gals, take office. Regardless of who sits in the White House or who dominates the Capitol, there are four things that need to happen for our economy to turn around.

First, we need to make sure we have all the pieces. In late 2007 we all thought the sub-prime situation will be contained, or at least that's what Bernanke told us. But then oil prices skyrocketed, credit markets froze, global growth slowed, and the consumer was halloweened into the lowest confidence index ever!! So first things first. Let's try to figure out what else is lurking in the shadows on all hollow's eve. Like Humpty, we can't fix'im if we don't have all the pieces.

Second, it's going to take time. It takes time for wounds to heal and it will take time for any financial aid to flow through the system. Many banks are still in the process of applying for capital. And although there are now doubts as to how the banks will use taxpayer money, more of them are committing to use the money for what it was intended...lending. There are still some details to iron out as to specific requirements the banks must meet, but two areas that have been mentioned are that the funds are used for lending to business and consumers, and that executive compensation will be limited. It's not clear how the Treasury will enforce these two requirements but at least the phased release of the $700B will allow for monitoring compliance with these rules and enable additional requirements to be defined.

So that leads us to the third thing that needs to happen to hasten the economic recovery. We need the banks to tighten their belts and come up with disciplined, attainable standards, that allow qualified borrowers to get loans. Banks have gone from lending to anyone at anytime with little to no collateral, to not lending at all. Well, we now know, that was stupid! However, setting standards so strict that no one qualifies is also stupid. Get some legitimate underwriting guidelines and get back to what you are supposed to be doing! By the way, the first sector to lead in an economic recovery is the financial sector but without the confidence to begin lending, the economic pain will linger, the situation will worsen, and like Halloween, things could get gruesome.

Finally, the consumer has to get rid of fear and trepidation. Some people have lost their jobs and estimates are that unemployment may increase to 8% (from 6%) before coming back down. However, even the gainfully and permanently employed are proceeding carefully, as if in the dark in a haunted house. Television stations and other media, vying for advertising dollars in an increasingly competitive environment, continue to dramatize the tiniest detail, often resulting in a highly influential, yet overblown perception in the mind of the average person. The result is a hesitation to spend, a minimalization of life's everyday pleasures, and constant conversation about how bad things are. Spurred by big media, the consumer ends up scaring himself even more. BOO!!

This trend and this mentality need to be reversed. It begins with an understanding that we've been in a downturn before. Sure, this one could be worse than any we've experienced since the Great Depression, unlikely due to aggressive action by the FED and US Treasury, but scary nonetheless.

In times like these we all need to have patience and stick to our long term financial goals.

0 commentsAndre Shambley • November 03 2008 06:08AM

“It's Friday...Tasty Turkey and Rice Quiche"

3 cups cooked rice, cooled to room temperature
1 1/2 cups cooked turkey, cubed
3/4 cup fresh tomatoes, finely diced
1/4 cup green onions, sliced
1/4 cup green pepper, finely diced
1 Tbsp. fresh basil, chopped
1/2 tsp. seasoned salt
1/4 tsp. ground red pepper
4 eggs, beaten
1/2 cup milk
3 oz. Cheddar cheese, shredded
3 oz. Mozzarella cheese, shredded

Combine rice, turkey, tomatoes, onions, green pepper, basil, salt, ground red pepper, eggs and milk in greased 9x13-inch pan. Top with cheeses. Bake at 350 degrees for 20 to 25 minutes or until knife inserted near center comes out clean.

To serve, cut quiche into eight squares, and then cut each square diagonally into two triangles.

Makes 8 servings.

1 commentAndre Shambley • October 31 2008 02:54PM

The Real Estate Agent is Your Friend (Really)

One day a young husband came home from work and his wife met him at the door with an excited expression. She was home on maternity leave and had been perusing real estate ads in the newspaper and magazines. The Internet had not taken off yet.

"Call this number," she said.

It was an ad for a house for sale.

"But be careful," she added. "The agent will try to get you to make an..." she paused and looked cautiously from side to side....

"...an appointment."

This is a true story, by the way.

So the husband called the agent to find out where the reasonably priced two-bedroom "starter" home with the "charming back yard perfect for barbecues" was located. The couple liked to barbecue and entertain close friends and relatives.

The agent wanted to "meet" with the couple.

Uh-oh.

When the husband indicated reluctance to meet, the agent gave him the address. He sounded confused.

So the couple went and looked at the outside of the home (because they could not get in without the agent). Two years later, they bought their first home.

Years later, the wife is now a real estate agent and she remembers this first experience vividly.

She realizes she could have probably bought her first home when her child was a baby, if she had just talked to the agent. She now knows what agents really do.

He would have helped them figure out what they could really afford, had them preapproved by a  reputable lender, and slowly eased them into being homeowners.

Not like a salesperson, but like an agent working on their behalf.

0 commentsAndre Shambley • October 29 2008 08:36AM

The "Home Wealth" Effect

In America, the most common way to accumulate wealth is through home ownership.

At the time of a survey conducted by the National Association of Realtors, the "average" homeowner has $50,000 in "unrealized wealth" in their home. Those families with incomes over $75,000 averaged $100,000 in "unrealized wealth." Families with incomes less than $40,000 averaged $40,000 in unrealized wealth.

"Unrealized wealth" just means your house is worth more than what you owe on it. This is also called "equity." Savings. You own an asset that appreciates in value.

Over the last year, the "average" house increased 7.1% in value. Since the "average" house is worth $153,300, that means in one year the "average" homeowner accumulated $10,884 in wealth -- by doing nothing more than making a mortgage payment (plus taxes and insurance). Since interest and property taxes reduce your taxable income, the federal government is subsidizing this increase in "home wealth."Three out of four homeowners say their "home wealth" is greater than their "stock wealth."

The most common way to "tap in" to unrealized wealth is to refinance and pull cash out of the home, get a home equity line of credit or sell your home. At least forty percent of those who sell their home use some of the money to buy a bigger, better, or newer home.

Renting does not accumulate wealth.

0 commentsAndre Shambley • October 28 2008 12:33PM

It's Time to Go Shopping!

No, I am not talking about going to the mall and meandering through all of the shops, looking for items on sale, or even better, a clearance sale! Well, actually, I am talking about that, in a way.

Existing-home sales increased last month as buyers responded to improved housing affordability conditions, according to the National Association of Realtors. 

However with so many foreclosures being offered for sale at steep discounts, still many homebuyers are fearful of the direction the real estate market is going, while others have even decided to wait until the sale is over before jumping of the fence. Now does that sound silly?

Anybody knows that when high quality apparel, electronics, home furnishings, or household items go on sale, it is a good time to buy. Sure, it is quite possible that if we wait another week the item will be reduced even further. It is also possible that other savvy shoppers would find the sale price so compelling there will not be any left to mark down. Personally, I think this is a great time to start shopping.

I am not proposing a free-spending spree even if Louis Vuitton is on sale. (What? You say Louis Vuitton never goes on sale? More on that later!) What I am suggesting is that there are good quality properties whose prices has plummeted right along with the market despite fundamentals that are still very strong. Hey, if you do not believe me, listen, or rather, look at what internationals buyers are doing...buying real estate in the United States!! Sure, they get great deals that are not available to all of us due to some of them paying cash or in excess of 60% for a down payment , but the point is that there are deals out there.

Ladies, if I told you that Manolo shoes were on sale for 50% of retail price, would it not be time to go try some of those high-heeled beauties on? Guys, if YOU hear that Manolo shoes are selling for 50% off, you might win some points, or the game, by suggesting to your lady a trip to the store. While out shopping, you might also find some really good deals for yourself. Of course, you’ll have to try everything on, make sure it fits well; look at yourself in the mirror to make sure it looks good; and compare it to other items and see which one you like best. (This is called shopping)

All I am suggesting is that it is time to do the same thing with real estate. This will also require trying them on in the form of proper research. If we find a property we like at a good price, we buy. (This is also called shopping)

*Now, back to the suggestion earlier that Louis Vuitton never goes on sale. At a PE of 11.6, a yield of 6%, a stock trading near a 52 week low, and other brands like Moet Chandon, Dom Perignon, and Tag Heuer, among others, LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA may already be on sale!  Contact your area Realtor ASAP. 

You can contact me: andreshambley@keyes.com


0 commentsAndre Shambley • October 27 2008 12:28PM

The Watercooler Buzz...Pending home sales up 7.4 percent in August

By Alan Zibel


Pending home sales rose 7.4 percent from July to August, an unexpected piece of positive news for the battered U.S. housing market.

The National Association of Realtors said Wednesday its seasonally adjusted index of pending sales for existing homes rose to 93.4 from an upwardly revised July reading of 87. The reading was the highest since June 2007.

Home sales are considered pending when the seller has accepted an offer, but the deal has not yet closed. Typically there is a one- to two-month lag before a sale is completed.

Wall Street economists surveyed by Thomson/IFR had predicted the index would fall to 84.9.

The index, which sunk to a record low of 83 in March, stood at 85.8 in August 2007.

Sales are picking up in places that have seen the most severe declines in housing prices - including California, Florida Nevada and Arizona, plus Rhode Island and the Washington, D.C. area, said Lawrence Yun, the trade group's chief economist. Still, Yun does not expect home prices to rebound until next year and only expects a modest gain of 2 to 3 percent in 2009.

A major unknown is how the worldwide financial crisis and economic slump will affect the housing market.

The latest effort by the central bank came Wednesday, when the Fed and six other major central banks around the world slashed interest rates Wednesday in an attempt to prevent a mushrooming financial crisis from becoming a global economic meltdown.

The Fed reduced a key rate from 2 percent to 1.5 percent. In Europe, which also has been hard hit by the financial crisis, the Bank of England cut its rate by half a point to 4.5 percent and the European Central Bank sliced its rate by half a point to 3.75 percent. Also cutting rates were the central banks of China, Canada, Sweden, and Switzerland.

There's no guarantee, though, that mortgage rates will match the Fed's cut.

That's because long-term interest rates, which influence 30-year mortgages, don't always move in sync with the Fed's action, which lowered the interest rate banks charge each other on overnight loans.

However, the Fed action will reduce borrowing costs almost immediately for U.S. bank customers whose home equity and other floating-rate loans are tied to the prime interest rate.

0 commentsAndre Shambley • October 13 2008 07:35AM

It's Friday...Ice Cream with Warm Fruit Sauce

 

5 New Zealand kiwifruit
1/2 cup sugar
1/4 cup water
1 Tbsp. lemon juice
1 Tbsp. butter
1 cup strawberries, stemmed and quartered
1 cup (1/2-inch) chunks pineapple
4 large scoops vanilla ice cream

 

Peel and slice kiwifruit into 1/4-inch thick slices; reserve. Combine sugar and water in a skillet and bring to a boil over medium heat. Boil 3 to 4 minutes or until sauce thickens slightly. Whisk in lemon juice and butter. Stir in kiwifruit, strawberries and pineapple and remove from heat. Make a pool of sauce and fruit on four dessert plates. Place a scoop of ice cream in center of each plate. Serve immediately.

Makes 4 servings.

Ice Cream with Warm Fruit Sauce

0 commentsAndre Shambley • October 10 2008 12:17PM

Just Too Much Information...? Try This

Sometimes it seems that there is just too much information out there and it can be overwhelming. By being strategic about what you choose to take in, however, you can prevent information overload. Here's how in four simple steps:

  1. Prioritize. When you organize your objectives, you'll be better able to set aside information that you don't need.
  2. Scan for information. Learn how to quickly peruse articles or reports for pertinent information. A class in speed-reading may help you save time, in the long run.
  3. Use your highlighter. Underline any information you may want to refer to later, then discard any articles or reports that do not have highlighted passages.
  4. Be an example. If you don't want to get bogged down by long e-mails or voice messages, keep your own short. Let others know that, when communicating with you, they should keep their information as concise as possible
0 commentsAndre Shambley • October 09 2008 09:37AM